Chiefs favored by 9.5 points in Week 9 matchup with Jets
Kansas City seeks to end a two-game skid against a New York squad that has allowed at least 26 points in each of its last three contests.
By Eric Collins ·
The Kansas City Chiefs will host the New York Jets on Sunday as both teams attempt to stop consecutive losing streaks. DraftKings lists the Chiefs as 9.5-point favorites for the Week 9 contest, with the total points line set at 47.5. The game offers a chance for Kansas City to rebound from back-to-back defeats following a strong start to the season.
The Chiefs began the 2026 campaign with five straight wins. However, they fell to Seattle in Week 7 and lost 27-24 to Denver in Week 8. The offense struggled in those games, including a period in Seattle where the team scored only a field goal. Running back Kenneth Walker III has been part of the problem on the ground, averaging just 3 yards per carry and totaling 105 yards in recent weeks. The offensive line is also dealing with injuries that have affected the team's rhythm.
New York enters the game with a 2-6 record. The Jets have lost their last three outings, including a Week 7 game where they allowed the Miami Dolphins to secure their first win of the season. While quarterback Geno Smith has shown flashes of effectiveness, the defense under head coach Aaron Glenn has been porous. The unit has conceded 26, 28, and 38 points over the past three games. Despite the losses, the passing attack remains a threat with receivers Garrett Wilson, Omar Cooper Jr., and Adonai Mitchell all in the mix.
The Chiefs are looking to get back on track with a healthier offensive group. Rashee Rice returned to the lineup in Week 8 and caught seven passes for 53 yards and a touchdown. His return adds another dimension to the attack as the team tries to balance the passing and rushing elements. The defense will need to contain the Jets' receiving corps to keep the game close.
Betting markets show the Chiefs as strong favorites, but the Jets have performed well against the spread this season. New York is 4-4 against the spread and 4-4 on the over. The Chiefs are 3-4 against the spread and 3-4 on the over. The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, projects a final score of 30-20 in favor of Kansas City. The model sees the over hitting 56% of the time for this specific matchup.
The SportsLine model has a record of 60-51 on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. It has generated more than $5,000 in profits for $100 players on betting sites since its inception. The model's projection leans toward a defensive struggle that still yields a moderate point total, despite the Chiefs' recent offensive struggles.
The game is scheduled for Sunday as part of NFL Week 9. Both teams are eager to return to winning form. The Chiefs aim to build on the return of key players, while the Jets hope their recent offensive output translates into a win. The outcome will determine whether either team can stabilize their season before the mid-season point.
